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The Fight Brief

Jeremiah WellsW vs. Myktybek Orolbai

UFC 330 · August 15, 2026 · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Early Prelims 5:30 PM ET

The brief

The result
Jeremiah Wells by Submission (guillotine choke), R3
What kind of fight
Wrestler-versus-wrestler pace battle
Finish likelihood
Medium
The line
Wells +725 · Orolbai -1200Consensus
The stakes
Welterweight · Early Prelims

The result

Jeremiah Wells def. Myktybek Orolbai Submission (guillotine choke), R3 1:24

Jeremiah Wells pulled off a stunning hometown comeback, choking out heavy favorite Myktybek Orolbai to open UFC 330.

Orolbai took the first round on all three cards behind a takedown and top control, but Wells hurt him with a big punch, and the scramble that followed saw Orolbai wrestle himself directly into a guillotine that put him to sleep 1:24 into round three.

The breakdown below was written before the fight.

The read

The math favors the younger man.

Orolbai's takedown volume against Wells's 50 percent takedown defense is a recipe for long stretches of control time, and Wells has historically faded when forced to wrestle for three rounds. The Philly crowd will give Wells energy, and his early-round power is a real threat — but Orolbai has eaten clean shots from Hermansson-level strikers and kept marching.

The pick is Orolbai by grinding decision or a late submission once Wells's gas tank empties.

The matchup

Jeremiah Wells
Explosive Wrestler
Wrestling · Power · Hometown grit
GrapplingStriking
Myktybek Orolbai
Relentless Wrestler
Takedowns · Pace · Submissions
GrapplingStriking

A hometown story runs into a rising wave.

Wells gets his Philadelphia moment at 39, but the UFC didn't give him a soft landing — Orolbai is eleven years younger, on a four-fight tear, and attempts more takedowns than almost anyone in the sport. The stylistic problem for Wells is that his own game is built on wrestling and physicality, and Orolbai simply does more of both, at a much higher pace.

Wells's equalizer is power: he hits harder than anyone Orolbai has faced at welterweight, and his 74-inch reach matches up evenly. If Wells can keep his back off the fence early, one clean shot changes everything.

Tale of the tape

13-4-1Record16-2-1
39Age28
5'9"Height5'10"
74"Reach74"
SwitchStanceOrthodox
United StatesCountryKyrgyzstan
Renzo Gracie PhillyTeamTeam Alpha Male

The numbers

Career UFC averages. Red bar = statistical edge.

Jeremiah WellsMyktybek Orolbai
2.35Sig. strikes landed / min (volume)2.78
46%Striking accuracy (precision)50%
1.28Sig. strikes absorbed / min (lower is better)2.7
48%Striking defense (strikes avoided)51%
3.06Takedowns / 15 min (wrestling offense)8.77
46%Takedown accuracy59%
50%Takedown defense40%
1.3Submission attempts / 15 min0.5

The fighters

Jeremiah Wells 13-4-1

Jeremiah Wells is a 39-year-old Philadelphia native who gets the rare privilege of fighting on a pay-per-view main card in his hometown. Training out of Renzo Gracie Philly, he's a compact, explosive wrestler with sneaky one-punch power — he opened his UFC run with three straight finishes, including a knockout of the ultra-durable Court McGee. A two-fight skid and a long injury layoff stalled his momentum, but he returned in November 2025 to outwork Themba Gorimbo over three rounds. He's a low-output, high-impact fighter: he doesn't throw much, but everything he throws means something. This is likely his biggest stage ever.

How they win
5 KO/TKO4 SUB4 DEC
How they lose
0 KO/TKO1 SUB3 DEC
Last 3 fights
  • WThemba Gorimbo · Decision (unanimous)UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · November 1, 2025
  • LMax Griffin · Decision (split)UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · February 10, 2024
  • LCarlston Harris · Submission (anaconda choke)UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · August 5, 2023

Full Wells profile →

Myktybek Orolbai 16-2-1

Myktybek Orolbai is a 28-year-old wrestler from Kyrgyzstan who has quickly become one of the welterweight division's most suffocating problems. His takedown numbers are absurd — nearly nine attempts landed per fifteen minutes, one of the highest rates in the UFC. After starting his UFC run at lightweight, he moved up and got even better, riding a four-fight win streak that includes a first-round knockout of longtime contender Jack Hermansson and a decision over veteran Chris Curtis. Thirteen of his sixteen wins are finishes, split almost evenly between knockouts and submissions. He trains with Team Alpha Male in Sacramento.

How they win
7 KO/TKO6 SUB3 DEC
How they lose
0 KO/TKO0 SUB2 DEC
Last 3 fights
  • WChris Curtis · Decision (unanimous)UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · March 14, 2026
  • WJack Hermansson · KO/TKO (punch)UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · November 22, 2025
  • WTofiq Musayev · Submission (kimura)UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · June 21, 2025

Full Orolbai profile →