Matheus Camilo vs. Jai Herbert
UFC Fight Night · October 10, 2026 · Meta Apex · Main Card 8:00 PM ET
The brief
- What kind of fight
- Veteran puncher vs. rising finisher
- Finish likelihood
- High
- The line
- Camilo -185 · Herbert +154Consensus (multiple sportsbooks)
- The stakes
- Lightweight · Main Card
The read
Camilo's recent form and finishing power make him the favorite, but Herbert's one-punch power is live at any stage of the fight.
If Camilo can control range and avoid Herbert's counters, his own stoppage ability should take over; if Herbert lands first, his track record of closing out knockouts is proven.
Expect fireworks before this reaches a third round.
The matchup
Herbert's one-punch power against Camilo's own finishing instincts makes this a live striking fight with two-way danger.
Herbert, 38, has ended 10 of his 14 career wins by knockout and answered his last loss with a first-round finish, while Camilo, 13 years his junior, has stopped five of his eleven career opponents by knockout and is unbeaten since a submission loss in his promotional debut.
Camilo's youth and recent form make him the betting favorite, but Herbert's experience and power have derailed younger strikers before.
Tale of the tape
| 11-3 | Record | 14-6-1 |
| 25 | Age | 38 |
| 5'10" | Height | 6'1" |
| 69.5" | Reach | 77" |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| Brazil | Country | England |
| Xtreme Couture | Team | Kaobon |
The numbers
Career UFC averages. Red bar = statistical edge.
The fighters
Matheus Camilo 11-3
“Jaguar”
Matheus "Jaguar" Camilo is a 25-year-old Brazilian lightweight fighting out of Xtreme Couture, with five of his eleven career wins coming by knockout. He has won two straight since a second-round submission loss to Gabe Green in his promotional debut, most recently flooring Nazim Sadykhov in the first round at UFC Baku in June 2026. He now faces UFC veteran Jai Herbert in a lightweight clash in Las Vegas.
- WNazim Sadykhov · KO/TKO (punches)UFC Baku · June 27, 2026
- WViacheslav Borshchev · Decision (unanimous)UFC 322 · November 15, 2025
- LGabe Green · Submission (rear-naked choke)UFC Vegas 106 · May 17, 2025
Jai Herbert 14-6-1
“Black Country Banger”
Jai "Black Country Banger" Herbert is a 38-year-old English lightweight out of Wolverhampton, a Muay Thai-based striker with 10 of his 14 career wins coming by knockout. He answered a split-decision loss to Chris Padilla with a first-round knockout of Mandel Nallo in April 2026, and now meets 25-year-old Brazilian prospect Matheus Camilo in a clash of generations.
- WMandel Nallo · KO/TKO (punches)UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · April 18, 2026
- LChris Padilla · Decision (split)UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · March 22, 2025
- WRolando Bedoya · Decision (unanimous)UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · August 3, 2024