Lupita Godinez vs. Ketlen Souza
UFC Fight Night · October 10, 2026 · Meta Apex · Main Card 8:00 PM ET
The brief
- What kind of fight
- Control and volume vs. finishing surge
- Finish likelihood
- Medium
- The line
- Godinez -225 · Souza +180Consensus (multiple sportsbooks)
- The stakes
- Women's Strawweight · Main Card
The read
Godinez's experience against ranked-level competition makes her the pick, but Souza's recent knockout form is a real swing factor if the fight stays standing early.
If Godinez can control range and work behind volume, she should get back in the win column; if Souza lands clean first, this could end a lot faster than the odds suggest.
The matchup
Godinez is the betting favorite off the biggest win of her career, but she's coming off the first stoppage loss of her own, and Souza arrives in the best form of her career with nine career knockouts.
Godinez's decision-heavy résumé and control game have been enough to beat a former title challenger before, while Souza's recent finishing surge — including a head-kick knockout in June — gives her a real path to end this early if she can close distance.
This is a legitimate step up for Souza and a bounce-back opportunity for Godinez.
Tale of the tape
| 14-6 | Record | 17-6 |
| 32 | Age | 31 |
| 5'2" | Height | 5'3" |
| 61" | Reach | 63" |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| Mexico | Country | Brazil |
| Titan MMA | Team | Team Felipe Rego |
The numbers
Career UFC averages. Red bar = statistical edge.
The fighters
Lupita Godinez 14-6
“Loopy”
Lupita "Loopy" Godinez is a 32-year-old Mexican-Canadian strawweight fighting out of Titan MMA in Vancouver, a well-rounded control fighter with 11 of her 14 career wins coming by decision. The biggest win of her career, a unanimous decision over Jessica Andrade in August 2025, was followed by the first stoppage loss of her career, a second-round submission to Tatiana Suarez at UFC 327. She now looks to bounce back against Brazilian finisher Ketlen Souza.
- LTatiana Suarez · Submission (rear-naked choke)UFC 327 · April 11, 2026
- WJessica Andrade · Decision (unanimous)UFC 319 · August 16, 2025
- WJulia Polastri · Decision (unanimous)UFC Fight Night · March 29, 2025
Ketlen Souza 17-6
“Esquentadinha”
Ketlen "Esquentadinha" Souza is a 31-year-old Brazilian strawweight out of Manaus, with nine of her 17 career wins coming by knockout. She rebounded from a split-decision loss to Piera Rodriguez with back-to-back wins, most recently a first-round head-kick knockout of Ariane Carnelossi in June 2026, and now gets her biggest step up in competition against former title eliminator Lupita Godinez.
- WAriane Carnelossi · KO/TKO (kick)UFC Vegas 118 · June 6, 2026
- WBruna Brasil · Decision (unanimous)UFC Fight Night · February 7, 2026
- LPiera Rodriguez · Decision (split)UFC Fight Night · August 2, 2025