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The Fight Brief

Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan

UFC Fight Night · October 10, 2026 · Meta Apex · Prelims 5:00 PM ET

The brief

What kind of fight
Veteran knockout power vs. submission specialist
Finish likelihood
High
The line
Price +125 · Shahbazyan -150Consensus (multiple sportsbooks)
The stakes
Welterweight · Prelims

The read

Shahbazyan's grappling pedigree makes him the favorite if he can get this to the mat, where his submission rate is among the best of anyone on this card.

Price's power gives him a real puncher's chance early, but his recent susceptibility to submissions is a serious red flag against this specific opponent.

Expect a finish, likely on the ground.

The matchup

Niko Price
Knockout-Power Brawler
Fan favorite · Returning from brief retirement · Four-fight skid
GrapplingStriking
Leon Shahbazyan
Submission-Heavy Grappler
92% of wins by submission · Younger brother of Edmen Shahbazyan · 0-1 in the UFC
GrapplingStriking

Price's late-career comeback runs headlong into a grappler who has finished 92% of his career wins by submission.

Price's knockout power is the clear path for him if the fight stays standing, but he has been submitted in two of his last three fights, exactly the kind of finish Shahbazyan specializes in.

Shahbazyan, for his part, has never faced a striker with Price's power and durability.

Tale of the tape

16-11Record12-5
37Age30
6'0"Height6'4"
76"Reach74"
—StanceOrthodox
United StatesCountryUnited States
Team PriceTeamGlendale Fighting Club

The numbers

Career UFC averages. Red bar = statistical edge.

Niko PriceLeon Shahbazyan
—Sig. strikes landed / min (volume)—
—Striking accuracy (precision)—
—Sig. strikes absorbed / min (lower is better)—
—Striking defense (strikes avoided)—
—Takedowns / 15 min (wrestling offense)—
—Takedown accuracy—
—Takedown defense—
—Submission attempts / 15 min—

The fighters

Niko Price 16-11

“The Hybrid”

Niko "The Hybrid" Price is a 37-year-old American welterweight and longtime fan favorite with 10 of his 16 career wins coming by knockout. He briefly retired in March 2026 after a loss to Michael Chiesa extended his skid to four straight, but returns after being passed over for a UFC Seattle booking to take this short-notice assignment against Leon Shahbazyan, likely his final UFC appearance.

How they win
10 KO/TKO3 SUB3 DEC
How they lose
6 KO/TKO3 SUB2 DEC
Last 3 fights
  • LMichael Chiesa · Submission (rear-naked choke)UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · March 28, 2026
  • LNikolay Veretennikov · KO/TKO (punches)UFC Vegas 113 · February 7, 2026
  • LJacobe Smith · Submission (rear-naked choke)UFC 317 · June 28, 2025

Full Price profile →

Leon Shahbazyan 12-5

“S.O.G.”

Leon "S.O.G." Shahbazyan is a 30-year-old American welterweight and the younger brother of UFC middleweight veteran Edmen Shahbazyan, with 11 of his 12 career wins coming by submission. He is 0-1 in the UFC after a first-round knockout loss to Levan Chokheli on short notice in June 2026, and looks for his first promotional win against veteran Niko Price.

How they win
1 KO/TKO11 SUB0 DEC
Last 3 fights
  • LLevan Chokheli · KO/TKO (punch)UFC Fight Night · June 20, 2026

Full Shahbazyan profile →