Skip to content
The Fight Brief

Alden CoriaW vs. Stewart Nicoll

UFC Fight Night · July 18, 2026 · Paycom Center · Prelims 5:00 PM ET

The brief

The result
Alden Coria by Decision (unanimous), R3
What kind of fight
One-way pressure
Finish likelihood
High
The line
Coria -1050 · Nicoll +675DraftKings
The stakes
Flyweight · Prelims

The result

Alden Coria def. Stewart Nicoll Decision (unanimous), R3 5:00

About as one-sided as the lopsided odds and the pre-fight read suggested.

Coria won the striking exchanges from the opening bell, and every time Nicoll forced a clinch or grappling sequence, Coria scrambled free and countered on the break.

The only surprise was Nicoll's toughness — he lasted all fifteen minutes of a 30-27, 30-27, 29-28 beating that the prediction expected to end early.

The breakdown below was written before the fight.

The read

On paper this is the widest gap on the card outside the debuts.

Coria's defense neutralizes Nicoll's brawling, and his volume compounds against a man who gets hit this much. Expect Coria to hurt him with accumulation — the body, like Costa showed, is the opening — and finish inside three rounds or cruise to a shutout.

Nicoll needs a perfect wild swing early.

The matchup

Alden Coria
Volume Pressure Striker
70% striking defense · 9 stoppage wins · 2-0 in the UFC
GrapplingStriking
Stewart Nicoll
All-Action Finisher
7 of 8 wins by stoppage · 0-3 in the UFC · Fighting for his roster spot
GrapplingStriking

A shared opponent makes this brutal reading for Nicoll: Alessandro Costa knocked him out three months ago, and Coria knocked Costa out last September.

Every meaningful number splits the same way — Coria absorbs 2.4 strikes a minute behind 70% defense while Nicoll eats 5.84 behind 50%, and Nicoll's 29% takedown defense offers Coria a second lane he doesn't even need.

Nicoll's proven finishing instinct is the only equalizer, and desperation sometimes swings hard.

Tale of the tape

12-3 (1 NC)Record8-3
28Age31
5'8"Height5'5"
67"Reach65.5"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
United StatesCountrySolomon Islands
4oz Fight ClubTeamTeam Compton Training Centre (Australia)

The numbers

Career UFC averages. Red bar = statistical edge.

Alden CoriaStewart Nicoll
4.69Sig. strikes landed / min (volume)3.63
45%Striking accuracy (precision)39%
2.4Sig. strikes absorbed / min (lower is better)5.84
70%Striking defense (strikes avoided)50%
1.75Takedowns / 15 min (wrestling offense)1.63
33%Takedown accuracy12%
71%Takedown defense29%
0Submission attempts / 15 min0

The fighters

Alden Coria 12-3 (1 NC)

Cobra

A Fury FC product who has looked ready-made in the UFC: a third-round knockout of Alessandro Costa at Noche UFC, then a hundred-strike decision over Luis Gurule in Houston. Lands volume while barely getting touched — 70% striking defense, only 2.4 absorbed per minute — with nine stoppages in twelve wins. Quietly one of the better-built flyweight prospects on the roster.

How they win
5 KO/TKO4 SUB3 DEC
How they lose
0 KO/TKO1 SUB2 DEC
Last 3 fights
  • WLuis Gurule · Decision (unanimous)UFC Fight Night: Houston · February 21, 2026
  • WAlessandro Costa · KO/TKO, R3 0:47Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · September 13, 2025
  • WGustavo Orpineda Ponce · KO/TKO, R2 3:21Fury FC 104 · May 25, 2025

Full Coria profile →

Stewart Nicoll 8-3

Kakamora

The first Solomon Islander in the UFC, fighting out of Australia, who arrived 8-0 with seven finishes — and has gone 0-3 since, submitted by Jesus Aguilar, outpointed by Lucas Rocha, and folded by an Alessandro Costa liver shot in April. The regional aggression is real; the UFC-level defense hasn't shown up yet. Universally read as a must-win to keep his roster spot.

How they win
4 KO/TKO3 SUB1 DEC
How they lose
1 KO/TKO1 SUB1 DEC
Last 3 fights
  • LAlessandro Costa · KO/TKO (body shot), R2 4:56UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · April 4, 2026
  • LLucas Rocha · Decision (unanimous)UFC Fight Night · October 11, 2025
  • LJesus Aguilar · Submission (guillotine choke), R1 2:39UFC 305 · August 17, 2024

Full Nicoll profile →